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創歷史新高!北向資金前三季度淨買入近3000億元,外資抄底消費、半導體

本文來自格:上海證券報,作者:汪友若

9月,借道滬深股通的北向資金持續淨流入,且從月度維度觀察,北向資金已連續12個月淨買入A股。今年前三季度,北向資金累計淨買入額已達2918.47億元。Wind數據顯示,這一金額較歷年同期淨買額已創了歷史新高。

北向資金9月淨買入A股305.19億元。且今年以來,北向資金月度淨流入額均保持正向買入態勢。其中,近兩個月北向資金淨流入力度明顯加大。

今年1至9月北向資金月度淨流入

從全年淨流入額來看,今年前三季度,北向資金累計淨買入額已達2918.47億元,創下了歷年同期的歷史新高。

北向資金歷年同期淨買入

國信證券首席策略分析師燕翔表示,雖然此前外資流入流出波動幅度放大,但目前A股市場在盈利好、估值低的組合下仍具備非常高的投資性價比。同時,非常重要的一點是,當前外資對A股的配置比例依然處於低配狀態。長期來看,外資的持續淨流入依然存有空間。

高盛首席中國股票策略師劉勁津此前曾表示:“2021年外資持有A股比例有望創歷史新高,北向資金今年以來買入較為強勁,受到市場持續關注,但海外公募基金對中國股票的配置處於歷史低位。”

他表示,近兩年,海外投資人配置A股的風格發生了明顯改變,逐漸從以被動型配置A股為主,向包括主動型配置、被動型配置等在內的多元化配置轉變。

從前20大重倉股來看,截至9月末,北向資金重倉股仍以白酒、醫藥等消費股為主。貴州茅台、美的集團、恆瑞醫藥、招商銀行等傳統藍籌股仍然位居北向資金前十大重倉股。貴州茅台獲加倉超80萬股,美的集團獲加倉超7000萬股,五糧液、中國中免均獲加倉超600萬股。

同時,部分新能源概念龍頭股獲外資重視。截至9月30日,寧德時代躋身北向資金的第三大重倉股,較9月初排名上升一位,持股市值高達877億元;隆基股份則成為北向資金第五大重倉股,持股市值超500億元。

此外,中國平安9月遭外資減持超1億股,跌出前十大重倉股,期間北向資金持股市值縮水超60億元。

9月北向資金前20大重倉股

從持股比例變化看,北向資金9月還逆勢抄底了不少半導體概念股。斯達半導持股比例變動高達4.97個百分點,位居兩市標的首位。聯創電子、兆易創新、上海貝嶺等個股持股比例變動幅度同樣靠前。

週期龍頭中遠海控9月北向資金持股比例下降了0.35個百分點,但與此同時,中國外運則獲北向資金加倉,持股比例上升2.07個百分點,中集集團的北向資金持股比例也上升了1.59個百分點。

9月北向資金部分重倉股持股比例變化

國信證券表示,從持股市值(一級行業)佔A股行業市值比來看,9月份,家電行業、休閒服務、電氣設備、食品飲料行業滬深股通持股市值佔行業A股總市值的比例依然處於前列。也就是説,外資對上述板塊仍具有很高的定價權。此外,醫藥生物、機械設備、計算機等行業也是外資佔比較大的行業。

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