南下抱團,首選美團(3690.HK)?
從今年年初開始,南下資金向港股加速流入,投資者熱情擁抱優質公司,包括美團、騰訊等龍頭公司成為市場寵兒,股價也不斷創下新高。

圖:美團港股通持股記錄 來源:同花順
在資金的熱情抱團下,美團在今日開盤後到達400的大關。投資者為何選擇抱團美團?它的魔力到底在哪裏?
生活服務龍頭
美團自2010年創立,如今正好邁過十個年頭。十年時光,美團從團購業務起步,十年來不斷髮展服務場景、豐富服務類別。現已在到店就餐場景、到店其他服務場景、酒店預訂、共享旅遊等細分市場佔據市場領先優勢。
藉助互聯網,美團推動了本地生活服務的線上化。美團在生活服務以“中間商”的角色出現,通過構建在線服務平台,消費者與商家之間得以連接,消費者通過平台找到所需,商家通過平台推廣自己的服務。
從美團的營收結構來看,其主要營收來源於佣金,也再次印證了其“中間商”的角色。其2020H1佣金營收佔比64.40%,在線營銷17.33%,其他服務及銷售佔18.27%。
如果以外賣、到店、酒店及旅遊、新業務等這樣分類,則來源於餐飲外賣的營收佔比達到57.95%,到店、酒店及旅遊佔比18.41%,新業務等佔比23.64%。因此,外賣是美團的核心支柱。
業績維持優秀表現
從最新2020Q3來看,美團營收保持高增速,經營利潤與經調利潤皆轉正。營收354億元,同比+28.8%,經調淨利潤21億元,同比增長6%,經營利潤率由5.3%升至19.0%。年度活躍商户數增長至650萬,同比增長10%,增速達到近一年新高;年度交易用户數達4.8億創新高,同比增長9.3%。

圖:美團營收情況(億元)與增速 來源:同花順
分業務來看,外賣GTV為1522億元,同比+36%,由單量和客單價共同推升。Q3日均訂單量達到3492萬單,同比增長30.1%,實現歷史高點。
2020年上半年,受疫情影響服務業受損嚴重,但美團外賣受影響較小。在疫情影響最嚴重的Q1,美團外賣 MAU 僅下滑 3.4%,二季度迅速恢復,上半年平台用户數量實現環比 1.5%的增長,
到店業務涵蓋到店餐飲、到店綜合、酒店預訂及旅遊服務四個子業務單元,現階段到店餐飲業務(大眾點評)發展已相對成熟。從Q3來看,交易量、交易金額、收入及經營利潤均實現正向增長,營銷開支減少帶來淨利率提升。Q3收入65億元,同比+4.8%;經營利潤28億元,同比+20%,營業利潤率為43%,同比增加5.3pct。
新業務中,閃購和社區團購增速較快,總營收82億元,同比+43%,佣金、廣吿、其他收入分別增長28%、89%、47%,主要受閃購和社區團購業務所驅動。
目前,社區團購依然是公司發展重點,也是最具想象力的部分。美團優選的投入規模要遠大於其他業務,目前依然以城市拓展和優化為主。未來待市場空間打開,有望成為巨大的盈利增長點。
總結
總體來看,公司主營的外賣業務在疫情下依然有上佳表現,到店業務穩定盈利,新業務充滿想象力。
在港股繼續抱團的進程下,具備確定性而又有想象力的美團,也正因此成為抱團的首選。
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