穆迪料近半获评级亚太区主权偿债能力转差
信贷评级机构穆迪表示,新冠疫情广泛扩散及防疫措施产生的经济、财政及社会冲击将持续至今年,亚太区主权今年展望前景将为负面。主权信用状况改善视乎防疫政策有效性,管治能力差异将导致区内复苏不平均。
穆迪高级副总裁Christian de Guzman表示,亚太区主权评级未来12至18个月面临多项挑战,短期财政状况将损害政府持续提供经济支撑的能力,对评级较低主权国家的影响更大。中期而言,国家发展优次及不同国家在全球供应链角色的改变,将推动新经济增长模型,社会及政治紧张将因疫情导致社会差距扩大而加剧,为复苏及改革带来进一步挑战。
穆迪预期25个亚太区评级主权体中,近半的政府债务承担能力将转差,尤其是新兴及前沿市场,流动性压力将继续困扰部分前沿市场主权评级。
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