ETF跟蹤 | 民主黨全面執政,這些ETF昨晚"爆"了
事件:
2021年1月6日美國參議院選舉落幕,民主黨實際掌控參議院,這意味着美國將出現總統和國會完全由同一黨派控制的"統一政府"局面,"藍色浪潮"全面來襲。
機構觀點:
①民主黨“橫掃”國會意味着更大規模的財政刺激計劃成爲可能,有利於"再通脹預期"繼續演繹,更高通脹預期預示着週期性企業有更好的定價權。
②同時加稅預期升溫,但推行時點靠後,由此可能會加速美股風格由成長轉向價值,美債陡峭化,美元中期走弱。
③行業上可能對新能源、消費、基建有利,但對科技、傳統能源、醫療等板塊不利。
④美股整體向好,伴隨貨幣持續一段時間的寬鬆,預計美股會延續一段不錯的上漲,整體上美股較美債更優。
市場反應:
週三美股,美股清潔能源板塊高歌猛進,清潔能源類ETF集體大漲:Invesco太陽能ETF(TAN)收漲8.67%,Invesco WilderHill清淨能源ETF(PBW)收漲6.18%,安碩環球清潔能源ETF(ICLN)收漲7.2%。
清潔能源類個股亦暴力大漲:Enphase Energy(ENPH)收漲12.07%,SolarEdge(SEDG)收漲9.89%,瑞能新能源(SOL)收漲14.33%。
後市展望:
2021年或成爲美股可再生能源類股的又一個豐收年。
StockMarket.com分析師Amos C早前表示,去年11月拜登獲勝的消息傳出後,可再生能源類股飆升。隨着美國總統就職日(1月20日)的臨近,可再生能源類股可能會再次出現大規模反彈。該分析師列出了3只最值得投資者關注的可再生能源類股:
瑞能新能源(SOL.US)
瑞能新能源是一家領先的全球太陽能項目開發商和運營商,主要從事太陽能發電項目的開發、建設和項目融資。
SolarEdge(SEDG.US)
SolarEdge是一家功率優化器、光伏逆變器和光伏監控系統供應商,致力於智能能源技術的開發。總部設在以色列赫茲利亞。
Blink Charging Co.(BLNK.US)
Blink是一家提供電動汽車充電設備和充電服務的公司。
財經網站Investopedia此前稱,Invesco太陽能ETF(TAN)、Invesco WilderHill清淨能源ETF(PBW)將是2021年表現最好的ETF之二。
TAN持股最多的個股是住宅型太陽能業公司Enphase Energy和Sunrun,PBW持股最多的個股之一,是氫燃料電池商FuelCell Energy。
風險提示:1)美國大選結果出現新的變數;2)出現意外的地緣政治事件;3)特朗普支持者暴動持續擴大;4)海外疫情形勢再度惡化;5)疫苗接種進度不及預期。
免責聲明:歷史數據僅供參考,不構成投資建議。
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