穆迪认为拜登当选及民主党控制参众两院对经济最有利
信贷评级机构穆迪就美国大选发表报告,认为当民主党美国总统候选人拜登当选,及美国参众两院均由民主党控制下,美国将最快回复全面就业、录最多职位增长及最快经济增长反弹。
报告指出,政府开支增加将直接增加本地生产总值(GDP)及就业,但高税率负担直接影响商业投资及高收入家庭开支行为。报告认为,民主党提出动用万亿计美元於基建、教育及社会福利开支,并提振贸易与吸收移民,将为经济带来最大提振。民主党提出的加税亦不会显着减慢经济增长。
报告预测拜登当选及共和党保持参议院控制权的机会率有40%,美国总统特朗普连任及国会维持现状的机会率为35%,拜登当选及民主党控制参众两院的机会率有两成,特朗普连任及共和党控制参众两院机会率为5%。
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