花旗料今年环球经济增长2.7% 中国增长放缓至5.8%
花旗银行投资策略及环球财富策划部主管黄(柏)宁在记者会上表示,环球经济有慢慢回稳情况,虽然成熟市场经济体的增长可能较过去20年放缓,但新兴市场的经济体增长可能会由谷底反弹。
该行预期今明两年环球经济增长均为2.7%,美国今年经济增长则料为2%,明年放缓至1.8%。至於中国预期今年增长未能「保六」,仅增长5.8%,明年增长进一步放缓至5.6%。
他表示,中美即将签署第一阶段贸易协议,但协议大多涉及分歧较少的范围,而双方随後将展开第二及三阶段协议谈判,涉及知识产权等分歧更大的范畴,因此相信市场并未可松一口气,加上今年为美国大选年,中美贸易的敏感消息或导致市场波动性更大。
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