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科技巨頭財報周 能否讓市場重拾信心?
uSMART盈立智投 04-26 21:27

在馬斯克收購推特(TWTR.US)的交易重新激發了交易員的風險偏好,並給科技股帶來急需的提振後,美股週一實現收漲。

然而,自今年年初以來,美聯儲迅速加息的計劃已導致美股科技行業節節敗退,同時,通脹飆升和俄烏衝突等其他宏觀因素也打壓了整體情緒,這些科技巨頭還必須應對由疫情消退帶來線上轉線下的消費者支出變化。

MAMAA(包括Meta(FB.US)、蘋果(AAPL.US)、微軟(MSFT.US)、亞馬遜(AMZN.US)和谷歌(GOOG.US)的母公司Alphabet(GOOGL.US))五家科技巨頭將在接下來的幾個交易日內陸續公佈財報,許多投資者迫切希望看到最新一輪業績能幫助他們走出困境。

Oanda高級市場分析師Edward Moya表示:“這些佔標普500指數三分之一權重的公司將於本週公佈財報,市場可能會在其中看到大致相同的情況:多數公司營收和利潤將超預期;公司將討論利潤率壓力,並表示會將價格壓力轉嫁給消費者;但他們仍將強調總體上對經濟的樂觀態度。”

BMO Capital Markets首席投資策略師Brian Belski表示:“由於整體板塊處於下跌趨勢,科技公司現在似乎有一張免費通行證。這並不意味着盈利表現會很糟糕,這只是意味着他們擁有真正降低標準、降低預期和提高業績的機會。”

Wedbush分析師Dan Ives認爲,微軟和蘋果這兩家科技巨頭的業績“可能會決定未來幾個月科技股的走勢”。“到目前爲止,我們預計微軟和蘋果本週均將公佈強勁業績,這對目前處於緊張時期的科技行業來說將是亟需的好消息," Ives表示,“與此同時,那些在疫情期間受益於居家辦公趨勢的公司,如奈飛(NFLX.US)、Meta、Zoom(ZM.US)和DocuSign(DOCU.US)等,可能會發現,隨着業績脫離高點,它們的市盈率可能會下降。”

美東時間週二美股盤後,Alphabet和微軟將率先拉開序幕。目前市場預計,Alphabet將在YouTube和其他谷歌服務上投入大量資金,同時,投資者也將密切關注有關應用內支付的傭金信息,以及有關監管機構指控該公司的搜索服務的反壟斷行動的評論。市場普遍預期Alphabet Q1每股收益爲25.55美元,營收將同比增長近23%至678億美元。

市場也預計微軟有望獲得不錯的業績。其中,投行Piper Sandler認爲,考慮到微軟雲業務如此大的規模(雲業務營收佔比達48%),並且每年以超過35%的速度增長,預計該業務將幫助微軟實現兩位數的整體營收增長。另外,投資者期待該公司透露更多有關其690億美元收購電子遊戲製造商動視暴雪(ATVI.US)的交易細節,以瞭解該公司進軍元宇宙的動向。市場普遍預計,微軟Q2營收爲490.5億美元,每股收益爲2.20美元。

美東時間週三美股盤後,Meta將緊隨其後公佈Q1財報。對於現階段業績,市場認爲蘋果隱私政策變更對營收的影響仍將導致廣告業務營收受到打擊,從而引起營收增速放緩,而對於未來下一增長階段,短期元宇宙業務的高投入無疑會爲公司增添新一層的風險。市場預期,Meta一季度每股收益爲2.57美元,營收爲282.8億美元。

美東時間週四美股盤後,蘋果和亞馬遜最後登場。對於蘋果,市場將關注在缺芯環境下,嚴重的供應限制對硬件業務造成負面影響是否繼續延續下去,而服務業務,市場預期該業務可能將面臨高基數效應。市場普遍預期蘋果Q2每股收益爲1.43美元,營收爲940億美元。

而在高通脹和疫情的衝擊下,市場並不看好亞馬遜的零售業務,但高利潤率的AWS雲服務、廣告業務有望抵消部分不利影響。市場預計亞馬遜Q1營收爲 1165.2億美元,每股收益爲8.50美元。

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