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郭思治: 10月大市表现如何才值得关注
阿思达克 09-23 09:55

帝(峰)证券及资产管理有限公司行政总裁郭思治称,踏进本周,整个大市将受即月期指转仓及结算等相关活动所主导,虽本月大市之形态暂仍属先低而後高(恒指是由3日之低位25,498点升至13日之高位27,366点),惟由於经过上周连跌五天後,恒指现已跌穿10天线(26,854点)及50天线(26,391点),故整个市势目前已渐转为反覆不明且带软,以上周五(20日)恒指报收26,435点计,相距20天线(26,391点)仅差44点而已,即只要今天大市再稍作反覆,恐怕连20天线亦会失守,一旦如此,整个大市之形态将转为反覆欲试底之格局,而所指的底,暂该为本月3日之低位25,498点。

本周四(26日)是即月期指转仓高峰日,本周五(27日)是即月期指结算日,到下周一(30日)则是即月场外衍生工具结算日,照目前之市场气氛计,相信该无太多憧憬了,目前要关注的不是大市能否在本周稍做好,因更重要的是,10月大市表现如何才值得留意,因传统而言,10月均有股灾月之称。

年图上看,大市正反覆在一中型下降通道之中,论形态确颇不理想,或者,市场会继续炒股不炒市,惟投资者亦需抱审慎的态度。

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